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Smart
investors attend conference calls. But even if you've been
investing for years, you may not recognize all the terms,
jargon and acronyms bandied about in conference calls and
press releases. This glossary will help you get up to speed.
Annual
report - Following
the conclusion of each fiscal year, most publicly held
companies issue an annual report, which may be as simple as
a 10K with a cover to something as fancy as a four color
high quality bound book. While the annual report contains a
lot of useful information, be aware that the information is
nearly always at least 5 months old, since most annual
reports are not published until about 5 months after the
close of the company's fiscal year. Therefore, if you want
to stay abreast of the latest earnings news, read the press
releases.
Cash and
cash equivalents -
This term can be found on the balance sheet, and represents
the total amount of cash, plus short term investments that
will be converted to cash within three months.
Conference
call - A conference
call, sometimes referred to as an "earnings conference
call," a "quarterly conference call," or an
"analyst call," is an event in which investors can
call into a special phone number and hear the management of
their company comment on the financial results of the
recently completed quarter. Most publicly held companies
hold four conference calls per year. Many companies are
beginning to offer audio casts of their calls over the
Internet.
In the past,
these calls were only made available to Wall Street analysts
and large institutional investors, but now, more and more
companies are actively encouraging participation from
individual investors.
Conference
calls offer investors a valuable sources of information
about a company. During the calls, management will speak
about the results of the just-completed quarter, comment on
notable corporate developments, and provide insight into the
future prospects of the company.
Most
conference calls follow a fairly predictable flow. The calls
usually starts with the company welcoming participants to
the call, followed by a discussion of the business by both
the CFO and CEO. Following management's discussion of the
business, the call is opened up to questions from the
audience.
The question
and answer session of the call is often the most revealing.
Analysts and institutional investors are usually allowed to
ask questions first, followed by questions from other
participants such as individual investors. Be advised,
however, that not all companies allow individual investors
to ask questions. One reason for this policy is that there
simply isn't enough time to answer hundreds of questions.
But if you're an individual investor, don't be discouraged.
If you listen carefully to the answers to the questions that
are asked by analysts and institutional investors, your
question will probably be answered.
Earnings
- Earnings, also commonly
referred to as "net income," measure the profits
of the company. Earnings equal revenues (also commonly
referred to as sales), minus all the expenses of the
company. Also see Earnings per Share.
Earnings
per share - Earnings
per share, also commonly abbreviated as "EPS," is
one of the most closely watched metrics of any company's
performance. EPS is computed by dividing earnings, often
called net income, by the total number of Shares
Outstanding. If you own one share of stock, then EPS
represents your theoretical share of the company's profits.
A new term that has appeared recently is called
"Diluted Earnings per Share," which measures the
earnings per share assuming full dilution caused by
unexercised stock options. An EPS number by itself means
relatively little. The figure has its most meaning when used
to compute other important metrics such as EPS Growth and
Price/Earnings Ratio.
EPS Growth
- The most important long
term determinant of stock price appreciation is EPS growth.
During a conference call, or within an earnings press
release, the management of the company will note EPS and its
relative growth or decline. There are two EPS growth metrics
to monitor:
One
is year-over-year growth, such as EPS for the first quarter
of 1999 compared to EPS for the same period one year ago
(the first quarter of 1998). To compute the growth rate,
subtract the previous EPS from the most recent EPS, then
divide that sum by the previous EPS. A number of .31, for
example, implies a growth rate of 31 percent.
The
second EPS metric to monitor is sequential EPS growth.
Sequential growth (or decline) represents the change from
one quarter to the next, such as the second quarter of 1999
compared to the first quarter of 1999. Sequential growth can
be an important metric because it provides a short term
indication as to whether or not the company is growing. But
be careful! A sequential decline may not be as negative as
it might seem. Many companies, especially retailers, have
seasonal fluctuations in earnings which could cause one
quarter's earnings to be lower than the previous quarter.
Earnings during the fourth quarter, for example, which is
the Christmas season, are usually higher than the following
quarter.
To
fully grasp the importance of year-over-year and sequential
growth rates, you'll want to analyze the historical trends
of the company, and this information can be found in annual
reports, 10Ks and 10Qs.
Full
Service Broker - Full
service brokers, such as Merrill Lynch, employ teams of
analysts who conduct original investment research and make
buy and sell recommendations. As a customer of a full
service brokerage firm, you will often be notified of these
recommendations by your personal stock broker. If you don't
want access to the broad range of services provided by a
full service brokerage firm, you'll probably want to
consider the services of a online broker, commonly referred
to as a "discount broker."
Hockey
Stick - If company
management says their quarterly revenues usually come in
like a hockey stick, they mean that they book most of their
revenues in the final days of each quarter. Hockey stick
quarters are fairly typical for most companies, because
corporate sales forces are often given incentives to achieve
sales quotas before the end of each quarter. Their
customers, who know that the sales people need to "make
their numbers for the quarter," will often postpone
purchases until the last minute as a negation ploy so that
they can get the best possible price. The downside of a
hockey stick quarter is that it increases the chances that a
big order slips a few days and doesn't get booked in the
current quarter, possibly causing revenues and earnings to
come in below expectations. If your company missed earnings
expectations, listen to see if it was because one big order
slipped into the next quarter. If that's the case, then the
earnings miss may not be all that important.
Individual
Investor - Individual
investors, often called "retail investors" are
individuals who buy and sell stocks for their own personal
portfolio. Individual investors may trade stocks with a
full-service broker or an online broker. Individual
investors hold hundreds of billions of dollars worth of
stock.
Lumpy
- If a CEO says revenues or
orders were "lumpy," it means sales were uneven
during the quarter, marked potentially by weeks of low order
rates and days of high order rates. Listen to learn why
sales were lumpy. Is this normal for the company, or is some
new happening?
Net
Income - See
Earnings.
Online
broker - Commonly
referred to as a "discount broker," online brokers
allow you to place your own buy and sell trades. Although
most discount brokers don't conduct proprietary stock
research, many do offer their customers access to research
reports from the full service firms, as well as a wealth of
other free information which can assist in your investment
decision making process.
Unlike
full service brokers, it's against the policy of online
brokers for them to make investment recommendations, which
is fine if you want to make your own decisions. Online
brokers also offer dramatically lower fees to buy and sell
stock, usually between $5.00 and $30.00 for the average
trade.
There
are dozens of online brokers, although some of the better
know firms include Charles Schwab, ETRADE, and Datek.
Press
release - Most
companies issue a press release immediately prior to the
start of the conference call. If it's an earnings press
release, the release will discuss the financial results of
the company for the recently completed quarter and may
provide additional comment by management. Remember that
press releases are written by the companies, and not by a
reporter. Often, as you search online news databases, it may
be difficult to distinguish between a press release and a
news story written by a journalist. The best way to
distinguish the two is by looking closely at the first
couple words of the story, which is where the source of the
story is usually identified. If the source is identified as
"BusinessWire" or "PR Newswire" then it
is a press release issued by a company.
Press
releases often list valuable contact information that can
assist you in your research, such as the company's web
address. Many companies have investor relations sections on
their web sites, where you can access press releases, annual
reports and other investor information.
Many
press releases also list public relations and investor
relations contacts at the company. If given the choice,
always contact the investor relations people first, since
their job is to work with investors. Public relations
contacts, despite the word "public" in their name,
are usually responsible for working only with the media.
Tip:
Just because a press release mentions your company does not
mean the release was issued by your company. Sometimes, the
press release may be written by a competitor or some other
organization that has a relationship with your company. To
learn which company issued the press release, read the first
paragraph, or, go the bottom of the press release, which is
where the source of the press release is usually identified.
Regulation
FD - Regulation FD,
or "Regulation Fair Disclosure," was first
implemented by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
in October 2000. Regulation FD mandates that all publicly
traded companies disclose material, market-moving
information to all investors at the same time. Regulation FD
is arguably one of the most significant regulations ever
implemented by the SEC.
Run-rate
- Run-rate is a term used to
describe how financial performance would look if you were to
extrapolate current performance out over a certain period of
time. Run-rate helps put the company's current performance
in perspective. For example, if a company just announced
quarterly revenues of $250 million, a CEO might say
"This quarter's revenues put us at a billion dollar
run-rate." In other words, it's like saying, "If
we were to perform at this level for 12 months straight,
we'd have annual revenues of $1 billion." Think about
your car's speedometer. If you're going 60 miles per hour,
you know you'll travel 60 miles in one hour. So 60 mph is
your run-rate. So a run-rate can sometimes tell you how fast
a company's engines are revving. Keep in mind, however, that
run-rate only provides a snapshot at one point in time.
Run-rate analysis is most meaningful for companies that are
not severely affected by seasonal factors. For example, if a
retailer books 80% of its annual revenues in the fourth
quarter because of Christmas, a run-rate analysis of the
fourth quarter's performance would not be meaningful. The
run-rate term is commonly used by growth companies to convey
the significance of their growth.
Selective
Disclosure -
Selective disclosure, which is illegal, occurs whenever a
public company deliberately or accidentally discloses
material, market moving information to a select individual
or group of individuals (often analysts or institutional
investors), who then profit from that information before the
rest of the public. Regulation FD (see definition above) has
dramatically reduced the occurrence of selective disclosure
by providing public companies clear guidelines on how best
to manage their investor communications.
Stock
options - During
conference calls, you will sometimes hear management speak
about earnings per share dilution caused by stock options.
Stock options are issued by companies to their employees as
an added compensation incentive. When these options are
exercised, or purchased, they increase the number of shares
outstanding, which serves to decrease the earnings per
share. Stock options are the primary factor that cause
Earnings per Share to differ from Diluted Earnings Per
Share.
Wall
Street analysts -
There are two types of Wall Street analysts, usually
referred to as "buy-side" and
"sell-side." Buy Side analysts are those that
manage large institutional portfolios, such as pension funds
and mutual funds. The "Buy" in their name refers
to the fact that they are responsible for managing the stock
holdings of their fund.
Sell-side
analysts are the analysts that issue "analyst
reports" on public companies. As part of these analyst
reports, they often issue earnings forecasts and stock
recommendations. The "Sell" in their names refers
to the fact that their organizations often employ teams of
stockbrokers, who will often call their clients and try to
sell stock based upon the recommendations of their analysts.
Can't
find a term you're looking for? Email us at support@thestockbroker.com
and we'll try to answer your question.
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